Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 83.473414 93.339382 103.383082 114.341811 125.931999 137.796842 150.832462
2025-09-21 67.326401 81.501642 96.542633 113.564366 132.172833 151.789118 173.924349
2025-09-28 56.236835 72.561216 90.451699 111.253372 134.533170 159.567870 188.316641
2025-10-05 51.551624 69.986721 90.705512 115.288480 143.270614 173.787258 209.255676
2025-10-12 46.964644 66.941141 89.928812 117.709677 149.809324 185.243478 226.850210
2025-10-19 41.481831 62.300779 86.860620 117.102289 152.569166 192.184957 239.158710
2025-10-26 36.769316 58.181064 84.060743 116.496708 155.062889 198.602885 250.681316
2025-11-02 33.275361 55.292828 82.504671 117.152726 158.845028 206.346786 263.583677
2025-11-09 29.494039 51.719809 79.857090 116.279747 160.647767 211.666029 273.591996
2025-11-16 26.580048 49.066425 78.179855 116.434683 163.544711 218.154565 284.861240
2025-11-23 23.467780 45.884624 75.630337 115.343411 164.807426 222.622918 293.701286
2025-11-30 21.631381 44.364379 75.139305 116.747924 169.032198 230.533741 306.514355
2025-12-07 20.027669 43.091971 74.936271 118.515405 173.734451 239.075207 320.165702
2025-12-14 17.653908 40.463558 72.766560 117.650948 175.112316 243.600762 329.064698
2025-12-21 15.050344 37.223625 69.573453 115.304261 174.522041 245.665927 334.972274
2025-12-28 14.644313 37.499959 71.291281 119.419672 182.048225 257.543405 352.549221
2026-01-04 13.793464 36.958980 71.797694 121.889880 187.473766 266.861877 367.075381
2026-01-11 12.162286 34.931024 70.058881 121.270265 188.912602 271.281064 375.712268
2026-01-18 10.683947 33.014577 68.380153 120.652524 190.293659 275.585644 384.178278
2026-01-25 9.648296 31.800025 67.678633 121.321720 193.296687 281.860788 395.002495
2026-02-01 8.354644 29.938894 65.901262 120.431196 194.223383 285.532858 402.652118
2026-02-08 7.401865 28.635467 64.912246 120.589250 196.480937 290.830247 412.255283
2026-02-15 6.294055 26.849736 63.071697 119.475978 197.016890 293.945688 419.176161